[eDebate] Reflections about debate and policymaking
Josh Branson
harobran at hotmail.com
Thu May 31 21:51:57 CDT 2007
The connection between debate and real world policymaking is something
that gets tossed around a lot both in debates and in our other forums, so I
thought Id share my reflections on how debate prepared me for the CSIS
experience.
This is something Ive been pondering for a while now, and since Im
probably done going to tournaments or cutting cards on any regular basis, I
thought I would post it now, as kind of my closing thoughts on my experience
with debate.
Caveats:
A) I am not the authority on this question, obviously, and I am far from an
expert on the policy process. This is going off my experience this year, for
what its worth.
B) I love debate. I think its the greatest thing in the world. None of this
should be taken to think I dont love debate; I could write something just
as long about the benefits of debate, but the issues in this post are the
ones that trouble me most and ones that might surprise some people.
C) I was guilty of many of the things in this post.
Anyway, I have 5 main points.
1. Debates reliance on crappy evidence and arguments
I wrote about this at length back when we were arguing about the Harrison
card, so I wont rehash all that stuff again. But I will say that this was,
for me, one of the two biggest differences between debate and the real
policy arena. Copley News Service (I dont mean to overly focus on that
card, its just the most obvious example) and its ilk routinely pass for
pretty much 100% credible evidence in debates, where it is completely
useless in the policy world.
Ive been wondering for a while how serious this issue is
and I think that
its fairly serious. Debate trains us as debaters and coaches to look for a
certain type of evidence (see Antonuccis quite elegant explanation of my
thoughts on this matter: evidence that contains simple and easy-to-consume
analogies, flamboyant claims, simple and direct rhetorical claims etc), and
at least for me, Ive found myself falling into that trap when doing CSIS
work this year at times.
When debaters read academic journals or law reviews in debates, they quickly
skip over all the background and history and much of the grunt legwork
that underlines all the final substantive claims of the article, jumping to
the conclusions of each section. We want conclusions listed with a succinct
summary of each warrant, so that its easy to read quickly, simply
explained, and rhetorically direct.
This really hit me hard this year, when working on things that I thought I
was already pretty damn knowledgeable about---nuclear weapons. I went into
the year thinking I was going to be Gods gift to the nonprolif department,
because none of these people have had debate, so they wont really
understand all the nonprolif issues as well as I do, no matter how much
expertise they may have.
Well, thats not the way it worked at all, at least for me. No doubt in a
collegiate debate judged by one of yall I could have killed them all on the
Pan K, probably even if we talked slow, but in the real world, I was kind of
surprised to find that the knowledge generated by debate proved to be fairly
damn cursory and artificial. I could rattle off a list of most of the
arguments for/against most of the general nonproliferation doctrines, but a
lot of the empirical and factual basis for these arguments was completely
missing in my brain. I could make the basic claim for almost anything in the
field, but the technical issues that underlines a lot of them (the names and
locations of the Russian CW destruction plants, an understanding of how the
fine points of the budget process works, how a capital market sanction would
actually be implemented, where did we get our intelligence that revealed
Chinese serial proliferators selling bombs to AQ Khan, how does a centrifuge
cascade work and why exactly would multilateral sanctions undermine Irans
ability to get uranium gas piping technology, the names of the key players
in the various foreign governments that make nonproliferation policy etc)
was all missing.
Maybe this stuff sounds pretty boring, and some of it is, but this is the
type of stuff that really determines whether or not policies are successful
and whether or not they are effectively promulgated. But the details pretty
much get left out in debates, replaced by a simplistic and power-worded DA
that culminates in nuclear winter. To my surprise, when setting out in the
nonproliferation world, you dont get to make grand pronouncements about the
impact of funding Nunn-Lugar on US soft power or whether funding it would
cause a budget deficit which would collapse the global economy and cause
multiple scenarios for nuclear war. Instead, most of the work that is done
is deciding which and what type of Russian facilities to allocate the money
to, knowing the specific people within the Russian government we can trust,
which types of nuclear disposition is safest and what types of
transportation we should use when moving spent fuel back to storage, etc.
When dealing with these discussions repeatedly, I found that debate had
provided me a very sound abstract conceptual frame through which to analyze
the general issues being raised, but little in a way of meaningfully
engaging the policy process.
Of course, debaters can learn this language. There are plenty who have. But
Id wonder whether or not people who claim that debate has trained people
for this life are mistaking correlation with causation.
Two other interesting conclusions:
A) To all the people who attack debate for propounding an overly elitist and
undemocratic discourse and undermines good broadly appealing public speaking
skills:
I think youve got it backwards.
Yes, a lot of debates involve jargon, no question. But at least in my
experience, I found that debate provided me the opposite. The times I was
most confident at CSIS were when we were doing public debates or discussions
in front of unqualified audiences. I could take on even the most senior
experts; in these types of forums, I could out debate them and rhetorically
counteract their vast experience/knowledge advantage. On the flip side, when
I was in conferences with only experts in the field, I often felt at a
severe disadvantage. In forums like this, bad arguments get called out, and
rhetorically powerful but intellectually flimsy claims are pretty much
non-starters. Debate experience wasnt a ton of help.
In terms of research, I did feel that all the debate research Ive done
provided some advantages and gave me a marginal edge over a lot of other
people at CSIS, but nothing enormous. Most of the people there, even though
theyd never done debate, can research just as well as the average college
debater (ESPECIALLY on technical issues). I realize there are problems with
the sample size etc, but it made me think twice about the infallible
research advantages supposedly generated by policy debate.
B) How to make debate more like the technical policy world?
Narrower debates. PICs are vital to this (sorry, Duck). Thinking back on my
8 years in debate, the topic about which I can best converse with experts
about is the design of emissions trading schemes. That was because the
literature was deep and the prevalence of
upstream/downstream/auctioned/timetable PICs narrowed the debates and forced
a real in-depth discussion.
I just dont think we get that in a ton of debates, because most PICs are
either wanky rhetoric PICs (and yes I was an extreme culprit) or something
even worse like Consultation.
Thinking back on it, I dont think that the legal topic was worded
particularly poorly, I just think that our strategic norms of
judging/debating create a lot of problems in generating the type of
education a lot of us want. But one of the most striking thing for me about
last years topic was that I learned more from Repkos post about his day at
the Supreme Court than I did from all the debates I judged combined.
In any event, how to create the types of narrow debates that will general
real sustainable expertise on topics is tough. I think that weve got to
learn how to become accepting as a community of analytical smart arguments
to answer carded-yet-stupid arguments, maybe start accepting intrinsicness
(something that I might post on some other day) as a way to eliminate
politics DAs and consultation CPs, and start modifying our theory
dispositions to be willing to call out bullshit CPs (see DHeidts new judge
philosophy), and finally moving away from the cult of new and surprise
arguments (see below).
This will also involve changing the way we teach kids as they enter debate;
I know I, for one, am going to change the way I teach camp this summer to
include at least a little of these thoughts. Of course, the focus must
remain on winning above all else, but I think that that pursuit can be
synthesized with a change in some of our debate practices.
2. Why an elite or technical discourse is important
My second conclusion is directed at people who decry the topic process
because its too technical, too narrow, drown out the personal or the things
that people want to talk about.
Again, my opinion is that this is backwards.
I think its a major problem that more of the people who conduct policy and
who are influential in the process are not well-schooled in the actual
empirical pragmatic details of the policies that they are advocating. Ive
read a significant amount about Iraq lately, and got to talk to a bunch of
people who were intimately involved in the process, and one of the primary
problems was that too much of our policy was executed in a cavalier and
emotion-laden fashion.
The dangerous pursuit of the liberation of the oppressed Iraqis at the
expense of all the obvious problems entailed with that pursuit, the complete
lack of a plan, for how to stabilize the country, and an utter ignorance
of the technical or real policy issues facing a peacebuilding operation of
that magnitude---these are all issues that come up REPEATEDLY when
discussing the reason we went into Iraq in such a cavalier and short-sighted
manner.
A bunch of the more scathing indicts of the topic committees work---that
the topic is too technical, that it undermines creativity etc
these are
traits that for me are reflected in some of the most loathsome policymakers
we have. Bush is by all accounts an idiot when it comes to policy expertise,
but hes the president that most people would love to have a beer with, and
one who has let his personal conviction guide his policymaking more than any
I can remember. His administration appears to conceive of the world in
relatively simple generic conceptual dichotomies (stay the course vs. cut
and run, terrorists are good or evil, our intelligence is either 100%
accurate or its not). Is that really what we want our topics to boil down
to? A be nice to the Middle East topic? Because its in the extra 60
words that the real problems with policy are revealed, and its there that
we find the difference between an effective invasion that removes a horrible
dictator from power and one which kills thousands of people and causes the
region to implode.
Yeah, you can rail against the elitism and technical nature of a lot of the
academic literature all you want, and say that policy debate is
exclusionary, but I think that we need more of the elite technical people
and fewer of the smoke and mirrors BS artists running things. The policy
world could use more Naveens and DHeidts.
3. Qualifications matter.
Way more than I thought. My boss this year was the guy who basically ran our
proliferation policy under Clinton, and has decades of experience
negotiating with foreign officials, of dealing hands-on with our nuclear
posture, of having access to intelligence at the highest levels etc. No
matter how sweet we debaters think we are at analyzing things, there is a
real difference between people like that and those of us who lack that
experience. In debate, this guys opinion is basically equal to a J.D.
Candidates. In any other arena, that is a laughable proposition.
In debate, by far more important than how credible or qualified your
argument is how NEW it is. You surprise the other team with a new strategy
(no matter how idiotic) and the chances are good that you will win. Of
course, that doesnt really work in the think tank world. I actually think
that debate would be way more educational and realistic if teams were forced
to disclose their arguments before hand. I understand all the problems with
mandating this, and realize it wont happen, but I do think that the cult of
newness at times is profoundly uneducational.
4. A large percentage of fairness impact arguments in debate are stupid.
Peoples obsession with fairness or competitive equity is misguided. One
of the most valuable things about debate is adapting to unfair
circumstances. If the neg runs conditional CPs, get better and deal with it.
If the aff doesnt specify their agent, figure out something else besides
your same old agent CP. This is what the policy world is like; youve got to
react and deal with tough situations. Do I think its fair that its hard to
get published without a graduate degree or personal connections? Not really.
Are most people in the policy community open-minded and unbiased? Nope.
Policymaking is about dealing with unfair and difficult situations, and
sometimes debate can be the same way. Looking back, for me a lot of the most
intellectually invigorating parts of debate were also the hardest and most
unfair. It was unfair that Klinger was so fast and clear, it was unfair
that MSU at times read short shitty unpredictable evidence, it was unfair
that Fullerton didnt have a plan and was able to emotionally intimidate
judges, it was unfair that a lot of people resented me because I wanted to
win and didn't exert much effort socializing at tournaments, it was unfair
that some judges were biased and we had to adapt our arguments, and it was
unfair that Emory had more card cutters on their team than we did. Im sure
a lot of people feel similar or worse things about debating against
Northwestern. But adapting to this stuff is part of life, and certainly part
of the policy world. But in debate we certainly cry foul a lot. Maybe too
much.
5. Switching sides: debates biggest virtue
The one thing that I think debate does that is vastly superior to the policy
world is forcing people to advocate things in which they dont believe. That
was one area in which I had a big advantage over other people in the field:
people in general had a hard time articulating and/or anticipating the
opposite point of view from their own. That is something that gave me as a
debater a professional advantage, but also something I think that would
greatly benefit the policy process. I wish more people making decisions had
had debate training, if only because they would then be forced through the
process of defending the other side of some issues.
This is also a devastating answer to people who complain about the topic
process. Maybe you think the whole process is evil and bullshit and we only
debate about Khalilzad. DEBATING ABOUT IT DOES NOT MEAN YOU HAVE TO BELIEVE
IT.
One of the most productive things for my education was forcing myself to
debate the K over and over again. Yes, I primarily did it for strategic
reasons, and yes I had three of the greatest teachers on Earth for these
arguments in Morales, Lundberg, and Fitzmier, but just the process of
debating all of the arguments that I started off thinking were total
bullshit had a profound effect on me. It has liberalized my worldview, made
me more tolerant of ideas foreign to me, but has also deepened my conviction
and enhanced my ability to defend some of my original beliefs.
Thats what Ill take away from debate. But as far as providing good policy
training, I dont really know if it does. When making a real policy
decision, you cant just break a new aff or wax someone on the Nietzsche K.
Youve got to actually defend your policy, discern whether or not it would
be a good idea if implemented, and then figure out how to get it
implemented. This is a process with which debate seems to have little to do.
We spend too much time bitching on edebate about how the topic committee
screwed up, how topicality is violent or uninteresting, getting our State K
or our Bush DA updates ready, writing our word PICs, and too little time
learning about the topics.
That being said, I wish I was going to be around for the Middle East topic.
At first glance, it portends to be one of the timeliest and deepest topics
weve had in a while.
Josh Branson
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